Citi Trends Valuation

CTRN Stock  USD 44.85  0.35  0.79%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Citi Trends shows a prevailing Real Value of $50.64 per share. The current price of the firm is $44.85. Our model approximates the value of Citi Trends from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.02) %, current valuation of 538.14 M, and Return On Equity of -0.14 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Citi Trends' valuation include:
Price Book
3.4424
Enterprise Value
538.1 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
30.2002
Price Sales
0.4638
Forward PE
3.8066
Undervalued
Today
44.85
Please note that Citi Trends' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Citi Trends is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Citi Trends' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Citi Trends is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Citi Stock. However, Citi Trends' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  44.85 Real  50.64 Target  57.0 Hype  45.5 Naive  43.3
The intrinsic value of Citi Trends' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Citi Trends' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
50.64
Real Value
53.58
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Citi Trends helps investors to forecast how Citi stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Citi Trends more accurately as focusing exclusively on Citi Trends' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.220.230.25
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.5645.5048.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
40.3743.3046.24
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
51.8757.0063.27
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Citi Trends' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Citi Trends' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Citi Trends' closest peers.

Citi Trends Cash

48.93 Million

Citi Trends Total Value Analysis

Citi Trends is currently projected to have valuation of 538.14 M with market capitalization of 371.36 M, debt of 220.4 M, and cash on hands of 27.91 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Citi Trends fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
538.14 M
371.36 M
220.4 M
27.91 M

Citi Trends Investor Information

About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Citi Trends was currently reported as 13.54. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. Citi Trends recorded a loss per share of 1.97. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2020. Based on the key indicators related to Citi Trends' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Citi Trends is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in March.

Citi Trends Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Citi suggests not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Citi Trends Profitability Analysis

Based on Citi Trends' profitability indicators, Citi Trends may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the moment. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Citi Trends' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2003-01-31
Previous Quarter
3.8 M
Current Value
-6.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
8.9 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of the 7th of February 2026, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 230.6 M. In addition to that, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to -0.05
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.30.34
Fairly Down
Very volatile
For Citi Trends profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Citi Trends to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Citi Trends utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Citi Trends's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Citi Trends over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Citi Trends Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Citi Trends is estimated to be 0.235 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.22 to a high of 0.25. Citi Trends' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -1.97. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Citi Trends is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Citi Trends is projected to generate 0.235 in earnings per share on the 30th of April 2026. Citi Trends earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Citi Trends EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Citi Trends' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Citi Trends, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Citi Trends Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Citi Trends' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Citi Trends is estimated to be 0.235 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.22 to a high of 0.25. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Citi Trends is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.22
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.235
0.25
Highest

Citi Trends Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Citi Trends' value are higher than the current market price of the Citi Trends stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Citi Trends is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Citi Trends' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of April 2026Current EPS (TTM)
243.25%
0.0
0.235
-1.97

Citi Trends Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Citi Trends is $371.36 Million. The majority of Citi Trends outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Citi Trends to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Citi Trends. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Citi Trends as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly three hundred fifty-five thousand five hundred eight invesors are currently shorting Citi Trends expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Citi Trends Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 753.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 314.76 M.

About Citi Trends Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citi Trends. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Citi Trends based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Citi Trends's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Citi Trends's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Citi Trends. We calculate exposure to Citi Trends's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Citi Trends's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit324.3 M230.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.06)(0.05)
Operating Profit Margin(0.06)(0.06)
Net Loss(0.07)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.30 

Citi Trends Quarterly Retained Earnings

273.7 Million

Citi Trends Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.483
Forward Price Earnings3.8066

Citi Trends Current Valuation Indicators

Citi Trends' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Citi Trends' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Citi Trends, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Citi Trends' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Citi Trends' worth.
When determining whether Citi Trends offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Citi Trends' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Citi Trends Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Citi Trends Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Citi Trends. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Citi diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citi Trends. Projected growth potential of Citi fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Citi Trends data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
(1.97)
Revenue Per Share
98.763
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.101
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Understanding Citi Trends requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Citi's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Citi Trends' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Citi Trends' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Citi Trends' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Citi Trends should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Citi Trends' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.